Weather Market Intelligence

13 weather models. One ensemble signal. Find mispriced weather prediction markets on Polymarket before the crowd.

How It Works

13 Weather Models

ECMWF, GFS, HRRR, ICON, and 9 more models combined into a weighted ensemble forecast.

Edge Detection

Automatically identifies markets where our ensemble probability diverges from market price by 5%+.

Kelly Criterion Sizing

Optimal position sizing using half-Kelly with safety caps. Maximize returns, minimize risk.

Real-Time Alerts

Telegram bot delivers signals instantly. Never miss a high-edge opportunity.

Model Breakdown

See exactly which models agree and disagree. Understand the confidence behind every signal.

Performance Tracking

Track accuracy, P&L, and calibration over time. Full transparency on signal quality.

Simple Pricing

Start free, upgrade when you see the edge.

Free

$0
  • +Market list
  • +Last 3 signals
  • +24h history
  • +15min delayed prices
Get Started

Starter

$29/mo
  • +All signals
  • +30-day history
  • +Real-time prices
  • +5 Telegram alerts/day
  • +Daily digest
  • +Top 3 model breakdown
  • +Kelly sizing
Start Free Trial
Most Popular

Pro

$49/mo
  • +Everything in Starter
  • +Unlimited history
  • +Unlimited alerts
  • +All 13 model breakdown
  • +Model comparison
  • +CSV export
Start Free Trial

Enterprise

$149/mo
  • +Everything in Pro
  • +API access (10K req/day)
  • +Priority support
  • +Custom integrations
Start Free Trial

FAQ

How does StormEdge work?

We aggregate forecasts from 13 different weather models, combine them using a weighted ensemble, and compare the resulting probability against Polymarket prices. When there's a significant divergence (edge), we generate a trading signal.

What is an 'edge'?

Edge is the difference between our ensemble probability and the market price. For example, if we estimate 70% probability but the market is priced at 55%, that's a 15% edge.

How accurate are the signals?

Our performance page shows real-time accuracy metrics. Weather prediction is inherently uncertain, but by combining 13 models, we achieve better calibration than any single model.

Can I use this for automated trading?

Enterprise tier includes API access. You can build your own trading bot that consumes our signals. We provide the intelligence, you control the execution.